The 8 Numbers That Explain Dubois vs Wardley 2
Fabio Wardley knocked Daniel Dubois down twice in their first fight and still lost. The CompuBox report explains why: Dubois landed 179 punches to Wardley's 97 and connected on 45.8% of his shots to Wardley's 27.1%, before referee Howard Foster stopped the fight at 0:28 of Round 11 in Manchester. These are the eight numbers that best explain that fight, and what they suggest for the rematch on Saturday, October 17, at The O2 in London.
Quick answer: In Dubois vs Wardley 1, Dubois out-landed Wardley 179 to 97, with 45.8% accuracy against 27.1%. He also led 92-57 in jabs landed and 87-40 in power punches. Wardley scored two early knockdowns but was never dropped himself.
The eight numbers at a glance
| # | Number | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 179–97 | Punches landed (Dubois–Wardley) |
| 2 | 45.8%–27.1% | Overall accuracy |
| 3 | 92–57 | Jabs landed |
| 4 | 87–40 | Power punches landed |
| 5 | 8–8 | Body punches landed |
| 6 | 4 of 5 | Rounds from 3 to 7 in which Dubois hit 50%+ |
| 7 | 2 | Wardley's knockdowns (Rounds 1 and 3) |
| 8 | 0:28 | Time of the stoppage in Round 11 |
1. 179–97: punches landed
Dubois landed 179 of 391 punches; Wardley landed 97 of 358. Dubois threw only 33 more punches but landed 82 more, so the gap came from precision and shot selection, not from simply being busier.
2. 45.8% vs 27.1%: overall accuracy
Dubois connected on nearly half of his punches, while Wardley landed a little over a quarter. That 18.7-point gap is the clearest sign that Dubois was punching with purpose while Wardley was often missing with heavy shots.
3. 92–57: jabs landed
Both men threw almost the same number of jabs (211 for Dubois, 209 for Wardley), but Dubois landed 92 at 43.6% accuracy while Wardley landed 57 at 27.3%. The jab was where Dubois set up his range and rhythm, and it is the punch most likely to matter again in the rematch.
Wardley's team has not framed the jab as a headline fix. They talk about when to accelerate, when to hold back and how to build a finish. It was WBC champion Agit Kabayel who said Wardley's chances go up considerably if he brings the jab back and stops relying on the right hand alone.
4. 87–40: power punches landed
This is the biggest gap in the fight. Dubois landed 87 of 180 power punches (48.3%) to Wardley's 40 of 149 (26.8%), a 21.5-point accuracy advantage. Jabs and power punches add up to each fighter's totals: 92 + 87 for Dubois, 57 + 40 for Wardley.
5. 8–8: body punches landed
Both men landed just eight body shots across 11 rounds, so the body was largely ignored. It is an obvious area for either fighter to add in the rematch, and Dubois' camp in particular could use it to slow Wardley's late-fight comebacks.
6. 4 of 5: Dubois' 50% rounds
From Round 3 to Round 7, Dubois landed 50% or better of his punches in four of the five rounds. Wardley stayed roughly between 20% and 28% for most of the fight. Once Dubois settled after the second knockdown, the accuracy edge became a pattern, not a fluke.
7. Two knockdowns
The number that the punch stats can't capture: Wardley put Dubois down in Rounds 1 and 3, both times with a right hand. Dubois lost the punch-count battle only in those opening rounds, but a single clean shot from a puncher with 19 knockouts can change a heavyweight fight regardless of what the totals say. Wardley was never knocked down in the first fight.
8. 0:28 of Round 11
Foster stopped the fight while Wardley was still on his feet, so the official result is a TKO, not a knockout. The stoppage came eight rounds after Wardley's last knockdown and followed sustained punishment, including a badly swollen right eye that the doctor examined in the closing rounds.
What the numbers say about the rematch
They point to a clear split. Wardley's danger is concentrated early, in the first four rounds, and lives in one punch. Dubois' advantage builds over time and rests on the jab, accuracy and power punching.
Two things would change the picture: Wardley using the jab more effectively while shortening his right hand, or Dubois starting sharper and staying off the center line in the opening rounds. Statistics from May can't tell us whether either has happened, and the numbers mean less against a fighter who can end the fight with one punch.
Frequently asked questions
What were the CompuBox stats for Dubois vs Wardley 1?
Dubois landed 179 of 391 punches (45.8%); Wardley landed 97 of 358 (27.1%). Jabs were 92-57 and power punches 87-40, both in Dubois' favor.
Who landed more punches in Dubois vs Wardley 1?
Dubois, by 82, despite throwing only 33 more punches than Wardley.
How many times was Dubois knocked down?
Twice, in Rounds 1 and 3. Wardley was never knocked down.
Do the stats favor Dubois in the rematch?
The numbers favor Dubois over the length of the fight, but Wardley's early power remains the main upset route.